Methodology and limitations

Visa rejection rate methodology

Visa Chance Checker calculates rejection rate from public Schengen visa statistics: not-issued uniform visa applications divided by uniform applications.

The pages use weighted aggregation when multiple rows are combined, show confidence from sample size, and treat the data as historical context rather than an individual prediction.

Frequently asked questions

How is rejection rate calculated?

Rejection rate is calculated as not-issued uniform visa applications divided by uniform applications, multiplied by 100.

What does not issued mean?

Not issued means the public Schengen statistics reported applications that did not result in an issued uniform visa for that row.

Does Visa Chance Checker guarantee visa approval?

No. Visa Chance Checker uses public Schengen visa statistics to show historical approval and rejection trends. It does not guarantee any visa result.

Is Visa Chance Checker an official government service?

No. Visa Chance Checker is an independent web application that organizes public visa statistics for research and planning.